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thefirmpicks

@thefirmpicks

Verified

The Firm Sports Analytics

MLBMLBNFNCAA FootballNFLNFL
—58 gradedLast pick Oct 2
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Performance

All Time · 58 graded

Evidence Brief

19-38-1Record
33.3%Win %
-31.5%ROI
-21.48UUnits
58Sample
—CLV

By sport

Verified record in each sport for All Time.

3 sports · 58 settled

Sorted by units
SportRecordWin%ROIUnitsSample
MLBMLB
16-1847.1%-7.4%-3.11U3442U risked
NFLNFL
0-70.0%-100.0%-6.50U76.50U risked
NFNCAA Football
3-13-118.8%-60.4%-11.87U1719.66U risked
  • MLBMLB

    -3.11U

    Record
    16-18
    Win%
    47.1%
    ROI
    -7.4%
    Sample
    34 · 42U risked
  • NFLNFL

    -6.50U

    Record
    0-7
    Win%
    0.0%
    ROI
    -100.0%
    Sample
    7 · 6.50U risked
  • NFNCAA Football

    -11.87U

    Record
    3-13-1
    Win%
    18.8%
    ROI
    -60.4%
    Sample
    17 · 19.66U risked

Performance trend

Cumulative units — All Time · All sports.

Cumulative unitsEnd -21.48U
0

Cumulative units across 58 graded plays. Ending balance -21.48 units.

CLV tracker

Pricing metric — submitted price vs the same book's close.

0 snapshots

—Avg CLV
—% beat close

CLV distribution

CLV Not Available Yet

No closing snapshots are available for this record. CLV appears after SCL captures a closing line for an Odds-Verified pick. Historical picks without a close remain em dashes.

Closing Line — Closing Line Value (CLV) measures whether the odds on your pick were better or worse than the same book's price at event start. A positive CLV means you captured a better number than the close; a negative CLV means the close was better. CLV is a pricing metric used by serious handicappers to evaluate process — it is not a prediction of future wins, and it does not guarantee profit. SCL only shows CLV on Odds-Verified picks with a recorded closing price. If a close is unavailable, we show an em dash rather than an estimate.

Closing Line — Price vs the same book's closing odds — positive means you beat the close.MoreLess

Closing Line Value (CLV) measures whether the odds on your pick were better or worse than the same book's price at event start. A positive CLV means you captured a better number than the close; a negative CLV means the close was better. CLV is a pricing metric used by serious handicappers to evaluate process — it is not a prediction of future wins, and it does not guarantee profit. SCL only shows CLV on Odds-Verified picks with a recorded closing price. If a close is unavailable, we show an em dash rather than an estimate.

Pick History

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Full proof history. Select Ticket to open one canonical proof receipt.
TicketDatePickGameLineCLVResultUnits
Oct 2, 2026Penn State Nittany Lions -2.5Penn State Nittany Lions @ Northwestern WildcatsPenn State Nittany Lions @ Northwestern Wildcats-108—Loss-2U
Sep 26, 20264-leg parlayParlayParlay——Loss-0.33U
Sep 26, 2026Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets -3Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ Stanford CardinalGeorgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ Stanford Cardinal-108—Loss-2U
Sep 26, 2026USC Trojans +3.5Oregon Ducks @ USC TrojansOregon Ducks @ USC Trojans-110—Loss-1U
Sep 26, 2026Penn State Nittany Lions -9.5Wisconsin Badgers @ Penn State Nittany LionsWisconsin Badgers @ Penn State Nittany Lions-120—Loss-1U
Sep 20, 20266-leg parlayParlayParlay——Loss-0.25U
Sep 20, 2026Atlanta Falcons +2.5Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta FalconsCarolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons+100—Loss-0.50U
Sep 20, 2026Atlanta FalconsCarolina Panthers @ Atlanta FalconsCarolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons+130—Loss-0.50U
Sep 20, 2026Jacksonville Jaguars +3Jacksonville Jaguars @ Denver BroncosJacksonville Jaguars @ Denver Broncos-120—Loss-2U
Sep 19, 2026North Texas Mean Green +3North Texas Mean Green @ Texas State BobcatsNorth Texas Mean Green @ Texas State Bobcats-110—Loss-1.33U

About

The Firm Sports Analytics

Using Data-Driven Sports Analytics to Identify +EV Edges

Sports

MLBMLBNFNCAA FootballNFLNFL
Joined Aug 2026

20u daily straight

Supermax Record

Record

0-0

Units

0U

ROI

0.0%

Win%

0.0%

These plays are a filtered view of the overall record and are not added a second time.

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